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Markov vs. Markov

Divorce by the Numbers


Author(s)

Christopher Rump
Department of Applied Statistics and Operations Research
Bowling Green State University
cmrump@bgsu.edu

Abstract

In this directed case study, students build a Markov chain probability model of marriage and divorce using statistics - the chance of divorcing in a given year and the chance of divorcing eventually - taken from an article on the divorce rates. Developed for an upper-level undergraduate course to introduce probabilistic models in operations research, this case it may also be appropriate for elementary courses in finite mathematics or statistics.


Objectives

  • Look at statistics with a critical eye and a questioning mind.
  • Build and analyze a model rather than simply follow an algorithmic recipe.

Keywords

Markov chain; Markov model; stochastic process; probability; statistical data; divorce rates; marriage; divorce

Topical Areas

N/A

Educational Level

Undergraduate lower division, Undergraduate upper division

Format

PDF

Type / Methods

Directed

Language

English

Subject Headings

Statistics  |   Mathematics  |  


Date Posted

01/01/2001

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